Elections odds

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side.

Kalshi

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

98%Yes+3.0 pts · 24h
KalshiKalshiYes 98¢ · 53K contracts today98%Open

The price line starts once we have recorded a few prices for this market.

Prices are what traders pay for “Yes” on each venue, not a forecast by this site. Updated every few minutes. Polymarket prices may be a little behind right now.

Elections: most traded today

By 24h volume on each venue: dollars on Polymarket, contracts on Kalshi.

Polymarket

No open elections market on Polymarket right now.

Kalshi

KalshiWill Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?Elections · Kalshi · 53K contracts todayrecording98%+3.0KalshiWill Ayanna Pressley be the next Speaker of the House?Elections · Kalshi · 32K contracts todayrecording2%−1.8KalshiWill Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House?Elections · Kalshi · 4.7K contracts todayrecording0.1%±0.0KalshiWho will win the 2030 Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Nithya RamanElections · Kalshi · 2.4K contracts todayrecording39%−2.0KalshiWill Ro Khanna be the next Speaker of the House?Elections · Kalshi · 1.4K contracts todayrecording1%±0.0KalshiWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — WindElections · Kalshi · 1.4K contracts todayrecording1%−1.0KalshiWill Pete Aguilar be the next Speaker of the House?Elections · Kalshi · 935 contracts todayrecording1%±0.0KalshiWill the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028Elections · Kalshi · 854 contracts todayrecording19%+2.0KalshiWill Marc Andersen be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Elections · Kalshi · 723 contracts todayrecording52%+49.0KalshiWho will win the 2030 Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Traci ParkElections · Kalshi · 566 contracts todayrecording9%+7.4KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027Elections · Kalshi · 350 contracts todayrecording1%−2.0KalshiWill the filibuster be abolished before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028Elections · Kalshi · 316 contracts todayrecording12%KalshiWill the filibuster be abolished before Jan 1, 2029? — Before Jan 1, 2029Elections · Kalshi · 201 contracts todayrecording14%±0.0KalshiWill Rahul Gandhi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?Elections · Kalshi · 139 contracts todayrecording38%+7.0KalshiWill Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030? — Before Jan 1, 2030Elections · Kalshi · 104 contracts todayrecording9%