Economy odds

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side.

Kalshi

Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

14%Yes+2.3 pts · 24h
KalshiKalshiYes 14¢ · 1.4K contracts today14%Open

The price line starts once we have recorded a few prices for this market.

Prices are what traders pay for “Yes” on each venue, not a forecast by this site. Updated every few minutes. Polymarket prices may be a little behind right now.

Economy: most traded today

By 24h volume on each venue: dollars on Polymarket, contracts on Kalshi.

Polymarket

No open economy market on Polymarket right now.

Kalshi

KalshiWill Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029Economy · Kalshi · 1.4K contracts todayrecording14%+2.3KalshiWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?Economy · Kalshi · 1.2K contracts todayrecording98%−1.0KalshiWill Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Economy · Kalshi · 885 contracts todayrecording20%+1.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028Economy · Kalshi · 303 contracts todayrecording56%±0.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027Economy · Kalshi · 124 contracts todayrecording5%−1.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Dec 1, 2026? — Before Dec 1, 2026Economy · Kalshi · 113 contracts todayrecording5%±0.0KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?Economy · Kalshi · 100 contracts todayrecording2%±0.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027Economy · Kalshi · 54 contracts todayrecording16%+1.0KalshiWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Economy · Kalshi · 48 contracts todayrecording20%±0.0KalshiWho will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? — Mary ErdoesEconomy · Kalshi · 36 contracts todayrecording13%+7.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027? — Before Oct 1, 2027Economy · Kalshi · 15 contracts todayrecording39%±0.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028? — Before Oct 1, 2028Economy · Kalshi · 15 contracts todayrecording63%±0.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2028? — Before Apr 1, 2028Economy · Kalshi · 9 contracts todayrecording62%+1.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028? — Before Jul 1, 2028Economy · Kalshi · 8 contracts todayrecording62%±0.0KalshiWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027? — Before Jul 1, 2027Economy · Kalshi · 6 contracts todayrecording28%+2.0