Will a Democrat win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be below -10%? — Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%

2029 S&P 500 change × 2028 winner

Kalshi
Kalshi
7%Yes+2.0 pts · 24h
KalshiKalshiYes 7¢ · 7 contracts today7%Open

The price line starts once a few prices have been recorded for this market.

Prices are what traders pay for “Yes” on each venue, not a forecast by this site. Updated every few minutes. Polymarket prices may be a little behind right now.

More elections markets on Kalshi